Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 5.657785 6.226904 6.833107 7.527700 8.302592 9.141625 10.120422
2025-11-30 4.758064 5.542559 6.432808 7.521334 8.821084 10.329025 12.219315
2025-12-07 4.021431 4.915285 5.985929 7.370673 9.125565 11.290364 14.186003
2025-12-14 3.427123 4.366016 5.544464 7.145572 9.284698 12.072898 16.029401
2025-12-21 3.021423 3.993428 5.265474 7.072283 9.605334 13.079009 18.287909
2025-12-28 2.773246 3.791436 5.176307 7.226568 10.234222 14.562854 21.407986
2026-01-04 2.558625 3.606230 5.081728 7.350397 10.820437 16.044159 24.728450
2026-01-11 2.348812 3.401953 4.932479 7.367759 11.237426 17.308970 27.883868
2026-01-18 2.147168 3.186891 4.741195 7.292394 11.490102 18.332590 30.778374
2026-01-25 1.967012 2.985400 4.547698 7.186573 11.671400 19.247655 33.604030
2026-02-01 1.808847 2.802471 4.363706 7.072114 11.816911 20.107115 36.441038
2026-02-08 1.668776 2.635315 4.188186 6.950199 11.929085 20.910653 39.278647
2026-02-15 1.553493 2.501097 4.058308 6.899467 12.173269 22.005873 42.909928
2026-02-22 1.483435 2.436133 4.038546 7.040311 12.784963 23.872675 48.433687
2026-03-01 1.388227 2.320115 3.920188 6.988912 13.024800 25.044657 52.686068
2026-03-08 1.285910 2.183358 3.753288 6.829222 13.032527 25.745824 56.013123
2026-03-15 1.211474 2.089958 3.655886 6.791152 13.277333 26.967651 60.749236
2026-03-22 1.171660 2.055745 3.663562 6.958241 13.963877 29.230095 68.403250
2026-03-29 1.129968 2.014559 3.654166 7.089096 14.587611 31.438650 76.355538
2026-04-05 1.078427 1.950815 3.596038 7.113177 14.979177 33.166793 83.398166
2026-04-12 1.020419 1.870413 3.498871 7.045171 15.154654 34.405248 89.358471
2026-04-19 0.963647 1.788386 3.392076 6.946016 15.246232 35.450554 94.986641
2026-04-26 0.910314 1.709478 3.285597 6.837423 15.302781 36.415492 100.581154